Meteorological Analysis
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Lili originated from a tropical wave which left the coast of Africa on September
16th. The wave organized as it headed west under the subtropical ridge, and by
September 21st the wave had developed enough to be considered a tropical
depression. The depression moved quickly at speeds up to 20 kt and became
tropical storm Lili. Lili crossed the Windward Islands on the 23rd and continued
to strengthen. On the 24th Lili reached winds of 70 mph. Shear increased though
and Lili rapidly weakened into a tropical wave over the Caribbean by the 26th.
Environmental conditions then became favorable again and the remnants of Lili
organized into a tropical storm again on the 27th as a surface circulation
reformed. Lili then approached Jamaica and did the 'Jamaican Jog', causing
heavy rains to occur over Haiti, Cuba, and Jamaica. Lili continued WNW from
Jamaica and strengthened into a hurricane on the 30th while passing over the
Cayman Islands. Lili then moved over the Isle of Youth and Western Cuba with
winds of 105 mph. Lili did not weaken from interaction with Cuba. Lili began to
accelerate around the subtropical ridge, and reached its max winds of 145 mph
with a pressure of 940 mb over the warm waters of the Loop current. Lili had
a very small inner core, and the core collapsed due to dry air intrusion upon
approach to Louisiana. Lili finally made landfall in Intracoastal City, Louisiana
on October 3rd with winds of 90 mph. Lili then moved inland and became
extra-tropical by the 14th over Tennessee. Lili was the first hurricane to hit
the U.S. in 3 years.
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Casualty and Damage Overview
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13 deaths are attributed to Lili, scattered throughout Lili's path of destruction in
the U.S. and Caribbean. Lili caused extensive damage in the Lesser Antilles,
with agriculture taking most of the loss. 400 homes were damaged on Barbados
alone. There was extensive rain damage across Jamaica, Cuba, and Hispaniola.
The Cayman Islands reported widespread wind damage from Lili. Lili caused
widespread wind damage in Louisiana, mostly to sugar cane fields. Some
levees also failed which caused widespread flooding damage. Total damage in
the U.S. was $860 million.
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Lili Hurricane Research Division Products
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Imagery
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Tracking Data
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Hurricane Lili
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
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18 GMT 09/21/02 10.2N 44.6W 30 1009 Tropical Depression
0 GMT 09/22/02 10.3N 46.5W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
6 GMT 09/22/02 10.8N 48.5W 35 1006 Tropical Depression
12 GMT 09/22/02 11.2N 50.4W 35 1006 Tropical Depression
18 GMT 09/22/02 11.8N 52.2W 35 1005 Tropical Depression
0 GMT 09/23/02 12.1N 54.6W 40 1005 Tropical Storm
6 GMT 09/23/02 12.2N 56.8W 45 1005 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 09/23/02 12.4N 58.7W 50 1004 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 09/23/02 12.5N 60.4W 60 1005 Tropical Storm
0 GMT 09/24/02 12.7N 62.1W 60 1006 Tropical Storm
6 GMT 09/24/02 12.8N 63.7W 60 1006 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 09/24/02 13.0N 64.9W 70 1004 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 09/24/02 13.2N 66.0W 60 1007 Tropical Storm
0 GMT 09/25/02 13.5N 66.9W 40 1008 Tropical Storm
6 GMT 09/25/02 13.7N 67.5W 40 1008 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 09/25/02 14.0N 68.2W 45 1008 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 09/25/02 14.2N 68.9W 45 1007 Tropical Storm
0 GMT 09/26/02 14.5N 69.8W 40 1007 Tropical Storm
6 GMT 09/26/02 14.9N 71.0W 40 1007 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 09/26/02 15.3N 72.2W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
18 GMT 09/26/02 15.6N 73.0W 35 1006 Tropical Depression
0 GMT 09/27/02 15.7N 73.5W 35 1006 Tropical Depression
6 GMT 09/27/02 15.9N 74.0W 35 1006 Tropical Depression
12 GMT 09/27/02 16.1N 74.6W 40 1003 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 09/27/02 16.7N 75.0W 45 1004 Tropical Storm
0 GMT 09/28/02 17.4N 75.1W 50 999 Tropical Storm
6 GMT 09/28/02 17.5N 75.6W 50 999 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 09/28/02 18.1N 75.4W 50 1002 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 09/28/02 18.5N 75.7W 50 1003 Tropical Storm
0 GMT 09/29/02 18.8N 76.1W 50 1001 Tropical Storm
6 GMT 09/29/02 18.8N 76.8W 45 999 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 09/29/02 18.7N 77.2W 50 994 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 09/29/02 18.7N 77.6W 60 994 Tropical Storm
0 GMT 09/30/02 19.0N 78.1W 65 993 Tropical Storm
6 GMT 09/30/02 19.1N 78.7W 70 990 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 09/30/02 19.6N 79.6W 75 986 Category 1 Hurricane
18 GMT 09/30/02 20.0N 80.3W 75 984 Category 1 Hurricane
0 GMT 10/01/02 20.5N 81.1W 80 978 Category 1 Hurricane
6 GMT 10/01/02 21.0N 82.2W 85 970 Category 1 Hurricane
12 GMT 10/01/02 21.6N 83.2W 105 971 Category 2 Hurricane
18 GMT 10/01/02 22.4N 84.4W 105 971 Category 2 Hurricane
0 GMT 10/02/02 23.0N 85.7W 105 967 Category 2 Hurricane
6 GMT 10/02/02 23.6N 87.2W 115 962 Category 3 Hurricane
12 GMT 10/02/02 24.4N 88.3W 125 952 Category 3 Hurricane
18 GMT 10/02/02 25.4N 89.5W 140 941 Category 4 Hurricane
0 GMT 10/03/02 26.7N 90.3W 145 940 Category 4 Hurricane
6 GMT 10/03/02 28.1N 91.4W 120 957 Category 3 Hurricane
12 GMT 10/03/02 29.2N 92.1W 90 962 Category 1 Hurricane
18 GMT 10/03/02 30.5N 92.4W 70 976 Tropical Storm
0 GMT 10/04/02 31.9N 92.1W 45 985 Tropical Storm
6 GMT 10/04/02 33.5N 91.4W 35 994 Tropical Depression
12 GMT 10/04/02 35.8N 90.0W 30 997 Tropical Depression
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Tracking maps courtesy of NHC
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Selected Satellite Image
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Selected Hurricane Research Division Radar Image
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